Wednesday, August 03, 2005

After some digging the correlation’s are glaring

Something about the Palmeiro thing really started to rub me the wrong way. Why would a guy like Palmeiro do something like this? Speaking with friends and Colleagues I received a similar answer from them. He wanted to get ahead and at the time it wasn't tested for. This seems to make more sense to me after I dug up some of Palmeiro‘s stats and combined it with some other names. Let me start this by saying I am only considering full seasons which I consider to be 400+ AB. Injuries can dwarf numbers and in one of my examples I do list a injury season but he was still able to obtain 400+ AB.

Palmeiro’s career started in 1986, however he didn't make a full season by my standard until 1988. In 88' Palmeiro registered 580 AB, .306 AVG, 8 HR, and 53 RBI. In 1989 Palmeiro moved to Texas.

Over the course of the next 4 seasons Palmeiro had the following stats:

89' 559 AB, .275 AVG, 8 HR, 64 RBI
90' 598 AB, .319 AVG, 14 HR, 89 RBI
91' 631 AB, .321 AVG, 26 HR, 88 RBI
92' 608 AB, .268 AVG, 22 HR, 85 RBI

Now, that is pretty standard growth of a player. He learned pitching got new strength and conditioning workouts etc etc. The interesting year is 1993.

The jump is very large:
93' 597 AB, .294 AVG, 37 HR, 105 RBI

If you average out the prior 5 years of his Career we see him hitting 15.6 HR a year. Take out his "Rookie" year by my standard he hit and average of 17.5 HR. His 93 numbers are more than double his career numbers. Palmeiro was 28-29ish that year and for sure in his prime. But the correlation I found most interesting came from a players signing the Rangers made in 92-93. The rangers acquired one Jose Canseco that year. HMMMMM........

More interestingly was what Palmeiro did the following year in 94'.
94' 436 AB, .318 AVG, 23 HR, 76 RBI

That’s a pretty large power drop off. Apparently Palmeiro noticed it too as the next year he:
95' 554 AB, .310 AVG, 39 HR, 104 RBI

After 95 all the way until last year Palmeiro never hit less than 37 HR. He constantly was 37- upper 40's in HR's. Interestingly enough in 96' another person had a monster year along with Palmeiro from Baltimore. One Brady Anderson out of the blue hit 50 HR's. His career best prior to that was 21. He typically averaged 18 HR's a year.

These stats and correlation's are hard to ignore. Couple that with the recent report of what drug made Palmeiro fail his test has at least lead me to believe he is Lying through his teeth. Palmeiro as reported by several sources has tested positive for a drug called Stanozolol.

"Stanozolol, known by the brand name Winstrol, is most notably linked to the Olympic sprinter Ben Johnson of Canada, who was stripped of his 100-meter gold medal in 1988. It is not available in over-the-counter supplements and is known as a powerful strength-builder, casting doubt on Palmeiro's claims that he ingested the drug unwittingly."

See now the thing is this drug is not a Supplement. This is something that according to the article linked everyone knows is an anabolic Steroid. Anyone taking it would know what they are taking so by saying you werent careful in reading lables or just not know what you had been putting into your body is flat out BS.

It doesn’t look good for Palmeiro, if this is what he was taking then he openly lied to congress, his teammates, his family, and his fans. This of course is just my opinion, but still with what I have brought to the table how can you not question this guy now.


  1. It's a shame how long it took baseball to react what was right there in front of their faces in the 1990s. I think it would have made Griffey that much more special.

    I see you had a productive day at work Travis. Nice.

  2. Here is a another interesting fact. Raffy has a mustache, so did Giambi (when he was good), so does McGuire (more of a goat-tee, but still lip hair), so did Bonds in his early years, so did many other people accused of using roids. Why is this interesting you ask, let me tell you.
    A few years ago I took a personality test. One of the in depth ones (Meyers-Briggs), it was for a class and it lasted a couple of weeks. Well I remember one personality type, ISTJ (I am not an ISTJ), has a similar trait among the men. Almost every ISTJ male that can grow a mustache will grow one. And the reason why they grow it is too hide something, like steroid use.
    Call me crazy, but beware of guys with mustaches. For that matter beware of girls with mustaches too.

    John M

  3. Sage advice John. Sage advice.

  4. I wonder if those guys grew mustaches to cover up the acne that came as a result of steroid use.

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